YSG
Yatsen Holding Limited (YSG) Scenario Analysis Analysis (2026)
Overall Score
Base Case
YSG trades at a very low valuation with EV/Sales of 0.27x and Price/Sales of 0.43x, which supports a stable base-case setup.
Liquidity remains solid with a current ratio of 3.59x and cash per share of 9.34, reducing near-term balance-sheet stress.
Profitability is still weak, with negative net margin (-3.0%), ROE (-4.5%), and ROIC (-7.9%), limiting upside in the base case.
Bull Case
A rerating is possible if the company converts its high gross margin of 78.7% into sustained operating profitability.
The balance sheet is conservative, with low debt-to-equity of 0.06x and net debt-to-EBITDA deeply negative, giving room for execution improvement.
Strong working capital and net current asset value provide some support if cash generation improves.
Bear Case
Operating cash flow and free cash flow remain negative, with FCF yield at -7.2% and OCF yield at -2.1%, signaling ongoing cash burn.
Inventory intensity is elevated, with days inventory outstanding at 221 days and a cash conversion cycle of 176.5 days, which can pressure working capital.
Negative EBIT margin (-3.3%) and zero interest coverage indicate the business is still not consistently generating operating earnings.
Sources
- Company filings (10-K, 10-Q, investor presentations)
- Financial and market data providers
- Public news and industry information
🔒 Go Beyond This Framework
This is one of 10 institutional-grade frameworks Invetso runs on Yatsen Holding Limited. Unlock the complete analysis — SWOT, Economic Moat, Porter’s Five Forces, Management, PESTLE and the Invetso Quality Score.

