OTLY

Oatly Group AB (OTLY) Risks & Opportunities Analysis (2026)

Invetso Score: 4.9/10 — Balanced · Last Updated: 2026-10-01

Overall Score

Liquidity Solvency Risk

Current ratio remains weak at 0.43, indicating limited short-term liquidity.

Working capital is still deeply negative at -$329.7M, leaving little cushion for near-term obligations.

Cash ratio of 0.08 suggests the company has minimal cash relative to current liabilities.

Profitability Recovery Opportunity

Gross margin is still positive at 34.0%, showing the core product can generate healthy unit economics.

Operating and net margins remain negative at -5.1% and -9.5%, so the business is not yet consistently profitable.

ROE and ROIC remain deeply negative at 6.8% and -9.6%, underscoring that capital is still not earning adequate returns.

Cash Flow Capital Efficiency Risk

Free cash flow remains negative at -$20.7M TTM, so the company is still burning cash.

Operating cash flow is also negative, with OCF margin at -1.9% and OCF ratio at -0.03.

Capex coverage remains poor, indicating limited internal funding capacity for growth or balance-sheet repair.

Valuation Support Re Rating Potential

EV/Sales of 0.82 and P/S of 0.26 suggest the market is valuing the business at a modest revenue multiple.

Negative earnings and cash flow keep traditional valuation metrics distorted, limiting the usefulness of P/E and FCF-based comparisons.

If margins and cash generation improve, the current low sales multiple could support re-rating upside.

Sources

  • Company filings (10-K, 10-Q, investor presentations)
  • Financial and market data providers
  • Public news and industry information

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