OTLY

Oatly Group AB (OTLY) 10Y Growth Potential Analysis (2026)

Invetso Score: 2.5/10 — Weak · Last Updated: 2026-10-01

Overall Score

Growth

Revenue base remains modest at an EV/Sales of 0.82, limiting evidence of durable scale.

Recent Q3 results and guidance indicate continued revenue growth, with full-year constant currency revenue growth guidance remaining 8% to 10%.

Profitability

TTM margins remain negative, with EBIT margin at -4.6% and net profit margin at -9.5%.

Returns on capital remain weak, with ROIC at -9.6% despite return on equity improving to 6.8% on a TTM basis.

Financial Health

Liquidity remains strained with a current ratio of 0.40 and quick ratio of 0.26.

Balance sheet leverage remains elevated, with debt-to-assets at 0.77 and negative working capital of -345.2M.

Cash Flow

Cash generation remains weak, with operating cash flow ratio at -0.031 and free cash flow yield at -15.1%.

Free cash flow remains negative on a per-share basis at -1.17, indicating limited self-funding capacity.

Durability

Gross margin is positive at 34.0%, but it has not yet translated into durable bottom-line profitability.

Q3 results showed a return to positive adjusted EBITDA, but the full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook was reduced due to rising fuel and logistics costs in North America.

Sources

  • Company filings (10-K, 10-Q, investor presentations)
  • Financial and market data providers
  • Public news and industry information

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