SNCY
Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. (SNCY) 10Y Growth Potential Analysis (2026)
Overall Score
Growth Runway
Airline demand remains supported by leisure travel exposure, but long-term growth is still tied to cyclical passenger volumes rather than a clear structural expansion story.
Revenue per share is $21.10 and operating margins remain positive, indicating the business can grow into a moderate earnings base if demand stays healthy.
Profitability
Gross margin is strong at 66.3%, but net margin is only 3.5% and EBIT margin is 11.1%, showing profitability is still constrained by operating and financing costs.
Return on invested capital is 4.5% and return on equity is 6.4%, which supports only modest long-term compounding.
Financial Strength
Liquidity is tight with a current ratio of 0.83 and negative working capital of -$74.4M, which limits balance-sheet flexibility.
Leverage is manageable but meaningful, with net debt to EBITDA at 1.84x and interest coverage at 1.10x, leaving limited cushion if conditions weaken.
Cash Generation
Free cash flow yield is 8.2% and operating cash flow remains positive, supporting a reasonable cash-generation profile at the current valuation.
Cash conversion is decent with a negative cash conversion cycle of -50.4 days, though capex still absorbs a sizable share of operating cash flow.
Valuation
Valuation looks reasonable at 1.13x EV/sales and 5.73x EV/EBITDA, which leaves room for upside if earnings and cash flow remain stable.
Price to free cash flow of 12.1x is not demanding, but the market is still pricing in cyclical risk and modest growth durability.
Sources
- Company filings (10-K, 10-Q, investor presentations)
- Financial and market data providers
- Public news and industry information
🔒 Go Beyond This Framework
This is one of 10 institutional-grade frameworks Invetso runs on Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc.. Unlock the complete analysis — SWOT, Economic Moat, Porter’s Five Forces, Management, PESTLE and the Invetso Quality Score.

