SHMD
SCHMID Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares (SHMD) Scenario Analysis Analysis (2026)
Overall Score
Base Case
TTM revenue multiple remains moderate at 2.68x EV/Sales, suggesting the market is not pricing in a strong growth scenario.
Liquidity is tight with a current ratio of 0.86 and cash ratio of 0.02, which keeps downside risk elevated.
Profitability remains weak with negative EBIT margin (-0.5%) and net margin (-112.6%), limiting confidence in a clean recovery case.
Bull Case
Gross margin is still positive at 30.5%, leaving room for operating leverage if costs are controlled.
Free cash flow generation is positive at the firm level (FCFF 76.6M), which supports a potential turnaround narrative.
However, the balance sheet remains highly leveraged with net debt to EBITDA at 24.0x, constraining upside conviction.
Bear Case
Negative earnings yield and free cash flow yield indicate the equity remains vulnerable if operating performance does not improve.
Working capital is negative (-13.4M) and the cash conversion cycle is long at 108.9 days, increasing refinancing and execution risk.
Interest coverage is effectively negative (-0.005x), highlighting meaningful stress if earnings remain weak.
Sources
- Company filings (10-K, 10-Q, investor presentations)
- Financial and market data providers
- Public news and industry information
🔒 Go Beyond This Framework
This is one of 10 institutional-grade frameworks Invetso runs on SCHMID Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares. Unlock the complete analysis — SWOT, Economic Moat, Porter’s Five Forces, Management, PESTLE and the Invetso Quality Score.

