SDRL
Seadrill Limited (SDRL) Scenario Analysis Analysis (2026)
Overall Score
Base Case
SDRL’s current ratio of 2.5 and cash ratio of 0.92 support near-term liquidity, while debt-to-equity of 0.26 keeps leverage manageable.
Profitability remains thin with net profit margin at 0.07% and ROE near zero, so the base case still depends on modest operating improvement rather than strong earnings power.
Valuation is not demanding on book value at 1.01x P/B, but the business still screens expensive on earnings with a TTM P/E above 2,300x due to minimal net income.
Bull Case
Operating margins are positive, with EBITDA margin at 23.8% and EBIT margin at 6.0%, leaving room for earnings leverage if utilization and dayrates improve.
Interest coverage of 2.29x and debt-service coverage of 5.56x suggest the capital structure can support a recovery scenario.
If cash generation normalizes, the current valuation could look reasonable given EV/EBITDA of 9.17x and P/B near 1.0x.
Bear Case
Free cash flow remains negative, with FCF yield at -8.9% and price-to-free-cash-flow still negative, indicating ongoing cash burn.
Income quality is very weak at -196, and operating cash flow is negative, which raises execution risk if operating conditions soften.
The company’s profitability is still fragile, with pretax margin at 1.18% and return on invested capital at just 0.21%, leaving little cushion against cyclical pressure.
Sources
- Company filings (10-K, 10-Q, investor presentations)
- Financial and market data providers
- Public news and industry information
🔒 Go Beyond This Framework
This is one of 10 institutional-grade frameworks Invetso runs on Seadrill Limited. Unlock the complete analysis — SWOT, Economic Moat, Porter’s Five Forces, Management, PESTLE and the Invetso Quality Score.

