RUN

Sunrun Inc. (RUN) 10Y Growth Potential Analysis (2026)

Invetso Score: 4.8/10 — Balanced · Last Updated: 2026-08-01

Overall Score

Growth Runway

Solar demand and storage adoption still provide a long-duration growth runway, but execution must scale to justify a 10-year compounding thesis.

Revenue per share remains supported by a sizable installed base and recurring service opportunities.

Profitability

TTM margins remain thin, with EBIT margin at 4.0% and net profit margin at 2.3%, limiting self-funded growth.

Returns on capital remain very low, with ROIC at 0.4% and ROE at 2.5%, indicating weak capital efficiency.

Financial Strength

Liquidity is acceptable with a current ratio of 1.42, but leverage remains elevated with debt-to-equity at 4.36x and net debt-to-EBITDA at 20.4x.

Cash generation is weak, with operating cash flow negative and free cash flow deeply negative over the trailing twelve months.

Valuation

The stock screens inexpensive on earnings and sales, with P/E at 5.8x and P/S at 0.68x.

However, the valuation is offset by negative free cash flow and high leverage, which reduce the quality of the apparent cheapness.

Execution Risk

The business remains exposed to project timing, margin volatility, and balance-sheet pressure if growth slows.

Interest coverage is extremely weak at 0.09x, leaving little room for operational setbacks.

Sources

  • Company filings (10-K, 10-Q, investor presentations)
  • Financial and market data providers
  • Public news and industry information

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