CGABL
The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061 (CGABL) Risks & Opportunities Analysis (2026)
No material changes this month.
Risks
Net debt to EBITDA of 14.3x and interest coverage of 2.35x indicate materially tighter balance-sheet flexibility than most peers, increasing refinancing and earnings sensitivity.
Current ratio of 0.61x versus stronger-liquidity peers leaves less buffer for working-capital shocks, which can constrain growth funding and amplify downside in a downturn.
Cash conversion cycle of 135.5 days, driven by 135.5 days sales outstanding, is far longer than asset-light peers, raising the risk of delayed cash realization and margin pressure.
High leverage combined with weak liquidity makes CGABL more exposed than better-capitalized peers to higher-for-longer rates, which can suppress valuation and limit strategic optionality.
Opportunities
If receivables collection improves from 135.5 days, cash release could materially strengthen liquidity versus peers with slower working-capital turns.
Any easing in funding costs would benefit CGABL more than low-leverage peers because its 14.3x net debt to EBITDA makes earnings and cash flow more rate-sensitive.
A sustained improvement in interest coverage above 2.35x would reduce creditor pressure and improve positioning relative to similarly leveraged peers.
Overall Score
CGABL’s forward positioning is constrained mainly by very high leverage and weak liquidity, while upside is limited to working-capital improvement and lower funding costs versus peers.
Sources
- Company filings (10-K, 10-Q, investor presentations)
- Financial and market data providers
- Public news and industry information
🔒 Go Beyond This Framework
This is one of 10 institutional-grade frameworks Invetso runs on The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061. Unlock the complete analysis — SWOT, Economic Moat, Porter’s Five Forces, Management, PESTLE and the Invetso Quality Score.
