CGABL

The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061 (CGABL) Risks & Opportunities Analysis (2026)

Invetso Score: 3.7/10 — Weak · Last Updated: 2026-09-01

Monthly Update

No material changes this month.

Risks

Score: 3.2 (Weak)

Net debt to EBITDA of 14.3x and interest coverage of 2.35x indicate materially tighter balance-sheet flexibility than most peers, increasing refinancing and earnings sensitivity.

Current ratio of 0.61x versus stronger-liquidity peers leaves less buffer for working-capital shocks, which can constrain growth funding and amplify downside in a downturn.

Cash conversion cycle of 135.5 days, driven by 135.5 days sales outstanding, is far longer than asset-light peers, raising the risk of delayed cash realization and margin pressure.

High leverage combined with weak liquidity makes CGABL more exposed than better-capitalized peers to higher-for-longer rates, which can suppress valuation and limit strategic optionality.

Opportunities

Score:

If receivables collection improves from 135.5 days, cash release could materially strengthen liquidity versus peers with slower working-capital turns.

Any easing in funding costs would benefit CGABL more than low-leverage peers because its 14.3x net debt to EBITDA makes earnings and cash flow more rate-sensitive.

A sustained improvement in interest coverage above 2.35x would reduce creditor pressure and improve positioning relative to similarly leveraged peers.

Overall Score

Score:

CGABL’s forward positioning is constrained mainly by very high leverage and weak liquidity, while upside is limited to working-capital improvement and lower funding costs versus peers.

Sources

  • Company filings (10-K, 10-Q, investor presentations)
  • Financial and market data providers
  • Public news and industry information

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